Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 1695 · DAL → HRL
departs 12:48 PM CT · arrives 2:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13 11%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 13%
Mon 11/16 16%
Tue 11/17 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL
↑
12pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
HRL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 2,900 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.