Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1747
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 1747 · PHL → MCO
departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 8:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 91%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 32%
Thu 11/19 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.