Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1808
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 1808 · ABQ → LAX
departs 12:52 PM MT · arrives 1:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
12pm departures from ABQ are usually not late
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.