WN 188 · TPA → DAL

departs 3:47 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8718Q (B38M), coming in as WN 4171 from LAX: landed 2:53 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 188 · TPA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?