Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 2006 · LAX → SAT
departs 1:26 PM PT · arrives 6:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.