Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2120
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 2120 · SJU → BWI
departs 4:21 PM AT · arrives 7:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 11/13 31%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.