Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2188
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 2188 · HRL → HOU
departs 3:44 PM CT · arrives 5:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 11/13 17%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 25%
Tue 11/17 19%
Wed 11/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.