WN 2250 · BWI → SJU

departs 1:12 AM ET · arrives 6:30 AM AT

Your aircraft is N8817L (B38M), coming in as WN 1318 from ORF: landed 11:58 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2250 · BWI → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?