Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2269
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 2269 · KOA → HNL
departs 3:35 PM HT · arrives 4:39 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 18%
Mon 11/16 19%
Tue 11/17 14%
Wed 11/18 15%
Thu 11/19 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave KOA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HNL that day
Weather at each end
KOA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.