WN 233 · ATL → HOU

departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts +48 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
40%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
32%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 233 · ATL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?