WN 2354 · ABQ → DEN

departs 5:13 PM MT · arrives 6:38 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±5 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DEN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2354 · ABQ → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?