Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 2462 · EUG → DEN
departs 1:16 PM PT · arrives 4:50 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 35%
Thu 11/19 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from EUG are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
EUG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.