Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2522 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

WN 2522 · ECP → BNA

departs 1:36 AM CT · arrives 2:49 AM CT

Your aircraft is N954WN (B737), coming in as WN 2522 from AUS: in the air, landing about 12:45 AM CT, 47 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ECP

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2522 · ECP → BNA

Odds over time