Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2616
SCHEDULED
Saturday, November 14 Today
WN 2616 · LAS → ONT
departs 2:13 PM PT · arrives 3:25 PM PT
Your aircraft is N8774Q (B38M), coming in as WN 1668 from AMA: still at AMA, due off about 4:16 PM CT, 123 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 48%
Thu 11/19 53%
Fri 11/20 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+70 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
100%
Cancelled
25%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 186 min after the scheduled departure, about 170 min late from the gate after a typical 16-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+70 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 186 min after the scheduled departure, about 170 min late from the gate after a typical 16-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 100%.
+67 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at ONT more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 186 min after the scheduled departure, about 170 min late from the gate after a typical 16-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+93 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to ONT?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
61%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
ONT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.