Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2622
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 2622 · LIH → HNL
departs 11:46 AM HT · arrives 12:41 PM HT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Fri 11/13 15%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 16%
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 13%
Wed 11/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.