WN 271 · RSW → BNA

departs 3:51 PM ET · arrives 5:07 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8528Q (B738).

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 271 · RSW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?