Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 294 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:09 AM ET, ETA 2:25 AM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

WN 294 · BWI → PHX

took off 12:09 AM ET · expected to land 2:25 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12am departures from BWI are often late

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 294 · BWI → PHX

Odds over time