Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 296 SCHEDULED

Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow

WN 296 · DEN → SEA

departs 1:57 PM MT · arrives 3:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 296 · DEN → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?