Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3057
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 3057 · BNA → BOS
departs 1:58 PM CT · arrives 5:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 83%
Fri 11/13 60%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 38%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.