Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 3106 · DEN → DSM
departs 5:50 PM MT · arrives 8:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 34%
Tue 11/17 33%
Wed 11/18 29%
Thu 11/19 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DSM (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.