WN 3283 · STL → MCO

departs 3:52 PM CT · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8819L (B38M), coming in as WN 3526 from PHX: landed 3:32 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3283 · STL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?