Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3318
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 3318 · SAN → PDX
departs 3:14 PM PT · arrives 5:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 47%
Mon 11/16 41%
Tue 11/17 35%
Wed 11/18 37%
Thu 11/19 50%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.