Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3415
SCHEDULED
Saturday, November 14 Today
WN 3415 · DAL → PHX
departs 4:08 PM CT · arrives 5:49 PM MT
Your aircraft is N9021F (B38M), coming in as WN 34 from HOU: still at HOU, due off about 4:27 PM CT, 67 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+65 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
99%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 121 min after the scheduled departure, about 109 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+65 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 121 min after the scheduled departure, about 109 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+61 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 121 min after the scheduled departure, about 109 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 97%.
+90 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
68%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.