WN 3443 · TYS → DEN

departs 5:15 PM ET · arrives 6:32 PM MT

Your aircraft is N8712L (B38M), coming in as WN 463 from DEN: landed 4:34 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts +36 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
49%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3443 · TYS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?