WN 3525 · MDW → DEN

departs 6:20 PM CT · arrives 7:52 PM MT

Your aircraft is N8919K (B38M), coming in as WN 8554 from MKE: landed 4:47 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3525 · MDW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?