Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 3576 · SMF → SLC
departs 3:12 PM PT · arrives 5:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 33%
Thu 11/19 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SMF (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.