Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 358 · AUS → DEN
departs 3:41 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.03 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.