WN 3676 · PHX → PDX

took off 5:42 PM MT · expected to land 7:04 PM PT (scheduled 3:55 PM MT → 5:49 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
97%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3676 · PHX → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?