WN 3687 · BWI → TYS

departs 6:02 PM ET · arrives 7:45 PM ET

Your aircraft is N295WN (B737), coming in as WN 2256 from ORF: in the air, landing about 5:22 PM ET, 35 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

91% chance · ±0 pts +54 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
7%
15–30 min late
64%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BWI that day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3687 · BWI → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?