Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 369 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:05 PM MT (1 H 25 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

WN 369 · DEN → SAT

departs 5:25 PM MT · arrives 8:44 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8975K (B38M), coming in as WN 8574 from GEG: landed 6:21 PM MT.

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling733 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 369 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?