Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 3848 · SJC → LAX
departs 4:06 PM PT · arrives 5:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 11/14
Tue 11/17 32%
Wed 11/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.