Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3888
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 3888 · SJC → LAX
departs 2:12 PM PT · arrives 3:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 11/13 58%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.