WN 4048 · STL → CMH

departs 2:50 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8907L (B38M), coming in as WN 1680 from SJU: landed 2:46 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from STL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4048 · STL → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?