Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4173 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 6:28 PM MT (2 H 43 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

WN 4173 · SLC → SMF

departs 3:30 PM MT · arrives 4:18 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +40 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    27%
  2. 15–30 min late
    50%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.