WN 4599 · MCO → AUS

departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 9:36 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8557Q (B738), coming in as WN 4646 from MCI: landed 7:51 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +58 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
55%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4599 · MCO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?