Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 45 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:05 PM ET (3 H 5 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

WN 45 · SDF → DAL

departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM CT

Your aircraft is N7843A (B737), coming in as WN 1206 from PHX: still at PHX, due off about 12:55 PM MT, 129 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 45 · SDF → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?