Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4727 LANDED 12:40 AM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

WN 4727 · BWI → MKE

took off 12:11 AM ET · landed 12:40 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 12am departures from BWI are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4727 · BWI → MKE

Odds over time