Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 472 · LAX → DEN
departs 1:16 PM PT · arrives 4:42 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.