WN 500 · RIC → BWI

departs 3:59 PM ET · arrives 5:09 PM ET

Your aircraft is N948WN (B737), coming in as WN 500 from BNA: landed 4:30 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 500 · RIC → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?