WN 539 · BNA → TUL

departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 7:39 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8839Q (B38M), coming in as WN 1472 from SRQ: in the air, landing about 5:18 PM CT, 25 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +59 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
58%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 539 · BNA → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?