WN 557 · BNA → TYS

departs 3:52 PM CT · arrives 5:54 PM ET

Your aircraft is N926WN (B737), coming in as WN 3766 from MEM: landed 3:22 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 557 · BNA → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?