Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 686 · BOI → DEN
departs 2:42 PM MT · arrives 4:44 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DEN that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BOI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6.66667 mi Precip 0.18 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.