WN 709 · MDW → MCI

took off 7:21 PM CT · expected to land 8:20 PM CT (scheduled 6:05 PM CT → 7:37 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
83%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 709 · MDW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?