WN 8527 · ONT → DEN

took off 1:24 PM PT · expected to land 4:08 PM MT (scheduled 12:13 PM PT → 3:37 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
80%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ONT that day

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.30 in

DEN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8527 · ONT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?