WN 8548 · LAS → BNA

took off 11:21 AM PT · expected to land 4:23 PM CT (scheduled 10:47 AM PT → 4:47 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

BNA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8548 · LAS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?