WN 8551 · LIT → BNA

took off 5:13 PM CT · expected to land 6:00 PM CT (scheduled 3:42 PM CT → 5:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
45%
1–2 hours late
55%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LIT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8551 · LIT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?