Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 865 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:45 PM CT (3 H 14 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

WN 865 · MDW → SAN

departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 8:31 PM PT
Your aircraft is N8918Q (B38M), coming in as WN 8549 from BOS: landed 6:28 PM CT.
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.