WN 8800 · MSY → OAK

departs 12:54 AM CT · arrives 2:59 AM PT

Your aircraft is N8673F (B738), coming in as WN 5088 from DAL: landed 11:26 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 8800 · MSY → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?