Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 883 · MDW → PHL
departs 3:37 PM CT · arrives 6:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.