Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 910
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 910 · BUR → PHX
departs 5:11 PM PT · arrives 7:52 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 28%
Thu 11/19 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.